The School of Odds

Sebastian Baez v Jiri Lehecka

Matchstart: 2026-03-08 03:40 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Sebastian Baez (Hemma)

Prognos 45.97%2.18rättvist odds
EV +44.80%
Fördel +14.22%
Kelly +20.84%
Tillväxt +9.34%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.16%44.08%48.93%51.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.802.251.973.1555.56%44.46%50.76%31.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Jiri Lehecka (Borta)

Prognos 54.03%1.85rättvist odds
EV +5.36%
Fördel +2.75%
Kelly +5.64%
Tillväxt +0.302%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.52%55.92%51.07%69.84%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.351.691.781.9574.07%59.27%56.18%51.28%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +44.80%E +14.22%K +20.84%G +9.34%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -26.52%E -19.50%K -73.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:25
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +42.50%E +13.71%K +20.24%G +8.60%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 02:45
GTbets3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV +40.66%E +13.29%K +19.74%G +8.03%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:21
SportsBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV +37.45%E +12.52%K +18.82%G +7.05%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -24.90%E -17.91%K -63.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 02:45
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +35.61%E +12.07%K +18.26%G +6.50%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 03:25
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:25
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:24
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +34.23%E +11.72%K +17.83%G +6.10%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -21.11%E -14.46%K -45.90%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 02:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:44
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -27.06%E -20.04%K -77.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +32.39%E +11.25%K +17.23%G +5.58%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:22
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:18
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -23.82%E -16.89%K -58.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 03:22
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +29.63%E +10.51%K +16.28%G +4.82%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -22.20%E -15.41%K -50.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:10
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 02:45
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 03:24
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:44
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV +27.33%E +9.87%K +15.44%G +4.22%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 03:09
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.13%E +0.514%K +0.943%G +0.011%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.15%E -4.79%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:28
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:34
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:34
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 03:34
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:34
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.53%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 03:29
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -0.583%E -0.317%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:35
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:35
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012%4.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012%4.8%2026-03-08 03:34
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:35
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:29
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -10.82%E -5.58%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:35
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.28%E -5.84%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.74%E -6.11%K -12.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 03:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:34
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:35
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -1.66%E -0.914%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 03:35
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +5.36%E +2.75%K +5.64%G +0.302%5.3%2026-03-08 03:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:29
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 03:33
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 03:34
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:33
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:32
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -17.26%E -9.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.9%2026-03-08 03:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-03-08 03:35
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-03-08 03:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-03-08 03:35
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%6.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%8.8%2026-03-08 03:34