La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sebastian Baez v Jiri Lehecka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sebastian Baez (Local)
Predicción 45.97%2.18momio equitativo
EV +44.80%
Ventaja +14.22%
Kelly +20.84%
Crecimiento +9.34%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.16%44.08%48.93%51.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.251.973.1555.56%44.46%50.76%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Predicción 54.03%1.85momio equitativo
EV +5.36%
Ventaja +2.75%
Kelly +5.64%
Crecimiento +0.302%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.52%55.92%51.07%69.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.691.781.9574.07%59.27%56.18%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +44.80%E +14.22%K +20.84%G +9.34% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -26.52%E -19.50%K -73.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +42.50%E +13.71%K +20.24%G +8.60% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| GTbets | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV +40.66%E +13.29%K +19.74%G +8.03% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:21 |
| SportsBet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV +37.45%E +12.52%K +18.82%G +7.05% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -24.90%E -17.91%K -63.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +35.61%E +12.07%K +18.26%G +6.50% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +34.23%E +11.72%K +17.83%G +6.10% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -21.11%E -14.46%K -45.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -27.06%E -20.04%K -77.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +32.39%E +11.25%K +17.23%G +5.58% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:22 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -23.82%E -16.89%K -58.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:22 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +29.63%E +10.51%K +16.28%G +4.82% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -22.20%E -15.41%K -50.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV +27.33%E +9.87%K +15.44%G +4.22% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 03:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.13%E +0.514%K +0.943%G +0.011% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.15%E -4.79%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:28 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.53%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -0.583%E -0.317%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -10.82%E -5.58%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.28%E -5.84%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.74%E -6.11%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -1.66%E -0.914%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +5.36%E +2.75%K +5.64%G +0.302% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:32 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -17.26%E -9.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |