La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sebastian Baez v Jiri Lehecka
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sebastian Baez (Casa)
Previsione 45.97%2.18quota equa
EV +44.80%
Vantaggio +14.22%
Kelly +20.84%
Crescita +9.34%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.16%44.08%48.93%51.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.251.973.1555.56%44.46%50.76%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta)
Previsione 54.03%1.85quota equa
EV +5.36%
Vantaggio +2.75%
Kelly +5.64%
Crescita +0.302%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.52%55.92%51.07%69.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.691.781.9574.07%59.27%56.18%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +44.80%E +14.22%K +20.84%G +9.34% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -26.52%E -19.50%K -73.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +42.50%E +13.71%K +20.24%G +8.60% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| GTbets | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV +40.66%E +13.29%K +19.74%G +8.03% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:21 |
| SportsBet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV +37.45%E +12.52%K +18.82%G +7.05% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -24.90%E -17.91%K -63.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +35.61%E +12.07%K +18.26%G +6.50% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +34.23%E +11.72%K +17.83%G +6.10% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -21.11%E -14.46%K -45.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -27.06%E -20.04%K -77.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +32.39%E +11.25%K +17.23%G +5.58% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:22 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -23.82%E -16.89%K -58.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:22 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +29.63%E +10.51%K +16.28%G +4.82% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -22.20%E -15.41%K -50.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV +27.33%E +9.87%K +15.44%G +4.22% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 03:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.13%E +0.514%K +0.943%G +0.011% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.15%E -4.79%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:28 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.53%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -0.583%E -0.317%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -10.82%E -5.58%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.28%E -5.84%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.74%E -6.11%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -1.66%E -0.914%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +5.36%E +2.75%K +5.64%G +0.302% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:32 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -17.26%E -9.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |