Szkoła Kursów

Sebastian Baez v Jiri Lehecka

Początek: 2026-03-08 03:40 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

59 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Sebastian Baez (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.97%2.18kurs godziwy
EV +44.80%
Przewaga +14.22%
Kelly +20.84%
Wzrost +9.34%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.16%44.08%48.93%51.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.802.251.973.1555.56%44.46%50.76%31.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jiri Lehecka (Goście)

Prognoza 54.03%1.85kurs godziwy
EV +5.36%
Przewaga +2.75%
Kelly +5.64%
Wzrost +0.302%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.52%55.92%51.07%69.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.691.781.9574.07%59.27%56.18%51.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +44.80%E +14.22%K +20.84%G +9.34%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -26.52%E -19.50%K -73.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:25
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +42.50%E +13.71%K +20.24%G +8.60%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 02:45
GTbets3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV +40.66%E +13.29%K +19.74%G +8.03%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:21
SportsBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV +37.45%E +12.52%K +18.82%G +7.05%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -24.90%E -17.91%K -63.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 02:45
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +35.61%E +12.07%K +18.26%G +6.50%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 03:25
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:25
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:24
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +34.23%E +11.72%K +17.83%G +6.10%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -21.11%E -14.46%K -45.90%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 02:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:44
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -27.06%E -20.04%K -77.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +32.39%E +11.25%K +17.23%G +5.58%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:22
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:18
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -23.82%E -16.89%K -58.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 03:22
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +29.63%E +10.51%K +16.28%G +4.82%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -22.20%E -15.41%K -50.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:10
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 02:45
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 03:24
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:44
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV +27.33%E +9.87%K +15.44%G +4.22%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 03:09
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.13%E +0.514%K +0.943%G +0.011%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.15%E -4.79%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:28
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:34
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:34
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 03:34
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:34
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.53%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 03:29
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -0.583%E -0.317%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:35
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:35
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012%4.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012%4.8%2026-03-08 03:34
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:35
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:29
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -10.82%E -5.58%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:35
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.28%E -5.84%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.74%E -6.11%K -12.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 03:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:34
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:35
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -1.66%E -0.914%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 03:35
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +5.36%E +2.75%K +5.64%G +0.302%5.3%2026-03-08 03:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:29
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 03:33
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 03:34
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:33
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:32
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -17.26%E -9.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.9%2026-03-08 03:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-03-08 03:35
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-03-08 03:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-03-08 03:35
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%6.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%8.8%2026-03-08 03:34