L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sebastian Baez v Jiri Lehecka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sebastian Baez (Local)
Prévision 45.97%2.18cote équitable
EV +44.80%
Avantage +14.22%
Kelly +20.84%
Croissance +9.34%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.16%44.08%48.93%51.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.251.973.1555.56%44.46%50.76%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.03%1.85cote équitable
EV +5.36%
Avantage +2.75%
Kelly +5.64%
Croissance +0.302%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.52%55.92%51.07%69.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.691.781.9574.07%59.27%56.18%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +44.80%E +14.22%K +20.84%G +9.34% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -26.52%E -19.50%K -73.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +42.50%E +13.71%K +20.24%G +8.60% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| GTbets | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV +40.66%E +13.29%K +19.74%G +8.03% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:21 |
| SportsBet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV +37.45%E +12.52%K +18.82%G +7.05% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -24.90%E -17.91%K -63.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +35.61%E +12.07%K +18.26%G +6.50% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +34.23%E +11.72%K +17.83%G +6.10% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -21.11%E -14.46%K -45.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -27.06%E -20.04%K -77.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 03:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +32.39%E +11.25%K +17.23%G +5.58% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:22 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 03:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -23.82%E -16.89%K -58.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:22 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +29.63%E +10.51%K +16.28%G +4.82% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -22.20%E -15.41%K -50.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 03:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV +27.33%E +9.87%K +15.44%G +4.22% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 03:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.13%E +0.514%K +0.943%G +0.011% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.15%E -4.79%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:28 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.53%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -0.583%E -0.317%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -10.82%E -5.58%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.28%E -5.84%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.74%E -6.11%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -1.66%E -0.914%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +5.36%E +2.75%K +5.64%G +0.302% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:33 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 03:32 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -17.26%E -9.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |