Die Wettquotenschule

Sebastian Baez v Jiri Lehecka

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-08 03:40 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sebastian Baez (Heim)

Prognose 45.97%2.18faire Quote
EV +44.80%
Vorteil +14.22%
Kelly +20.84%
Wachstum +9.34%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.16%44.08%48.93%51.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.802.251.973.1555.56%44.46%50.76%31.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jiri Lehecka (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.03%1.85faire Quote
EV +5.36%
Vorteil +2.75%
Kelly +5.64%
Wachstum +0.302%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.52%55.92%51.07%69.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.351.691.781.9574.07%59.27%56.18%51.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +44.80%E +14.22%K +20.84%G +9.34%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -26.52%E -19.50%K -73.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:25
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +42.50%E +13.71%K +20.24%G +8.60%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 02:45
GTbets3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV +40.66%E +13.29%K +19.74%G +8.03%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -25.44%E -18.43%K -66.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:21
SportsBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV +37.45%E +12.52%K +18.82%G +7.05%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -24.90%E -17.91%K -63.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 02:45
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +35.61%E +12.07%K +18.26%G +6.50%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 03:25
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:25
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +34.69%E +11.84%K +17.97%G +6.23%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:24
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +34.23%E +11.72%K +17.83%G +6.10%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -21.11%E -14.46%K -45.90%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 02:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:44
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +33.31%E +11.49%K +17.53%G +5.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -27.06%E -20.04%K -77.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 03:19
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +32.39%E +11.25%K +17.23%G +5.58%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:22
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 03:18
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +31.01%E +10.88%K +16.76%G +5.20%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -23.82%E -16.89%K -58.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 03:22
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +29.63%E +10.51%K +16.28%G +4.82%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -22.20%E -15.41%K -50.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 03:10
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -22.74%E -15.90%K -52.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 02:45
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 03:24
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +28.71%E +10.25%K +15.95%G +4.58%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -24.36%E -17.40%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:44
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV +27.33%E +9.87%K +15.44%G +4.22%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -23.28%E -16.39%K -55.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 03:09
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.13%E +0.514%K +0.943%G +0.011%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.15%E -4.79%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 03:28
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:34
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 03:34
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 03:34
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 03:34
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.53%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 03:29
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -0.583%E -0.317%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:34
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:35
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:35
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 03:34
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012%4.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +1.04%E +0.555%K +1.19%G +0.012%4.8%2026-03-08 03:34
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 03:35
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:29
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 03:34
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -10.82%E -5.58%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 03:35
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -11.28%E -5.84%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -11.74%E -6.11%K -12.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 03:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.20%E -6.39%K -13.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.12%E -0.614%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:34
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:35
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 03:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -1.66%E -0.914%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 03:35
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +5.36%E +2.75%K +5.64%G +0.302%5.3%2026-03-08 03:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.96%E -8.09%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.042%E -0.023%K -0.050%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:29
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 03:33
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -15.42%E -8.38%K -18.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 03:34
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:33
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.88%E -8.68%K -19.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-08 03:32
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -17.26%E -9.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +3.20%E +1.68%K +3.52%G +0.112%7.9%2026-03-08 03:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-03-08 03:35
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-03-08 03:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-08 03:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-03-08 03:35
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%6.4%2026-03-08 03:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%8.8%2026-03-08 03:34