StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Roberto Bautista Agut v Jack Draper

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Roberto Bautista Agut (Hemma)

Prognos 16.28%6.14rättvist odds
EV +22.12%
Fördel +2.95%
Kelly +3.40%
Tillväxt +0.752%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.49%16.04%16.31%17.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.255.895.967.5019.05%16.99%16.78%13.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jack Draper (Borta)

Prognos 83.72%1.19rättvist odds
EV -3.72%
Fördel -3.24%
Kelly -24.83%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.03%83.96%83.69%87.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.071.121.131.1593.46%88.92%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Roberto Bautista Agut (Hemma): 16.28%; Jack Draper (Borta): 83.72%. För Roberto Bautista Agut (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.14. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +22.12%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +22.12%E +2.95%K +3.40%G +0.752%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -10.42%E -9.74%K -148.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:13
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.97%E +2.00%K +2.33%G +0.325%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.91%E -7.19%K -79.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Pinnacle🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%EV +4.21%E +0.657%K +0.779%G +0.033%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.58%E +0.409%K +0.486%G +0.013%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:12
GTbets🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.76%E +0.282%K +0.336%G +0.006%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:05
DraftKings🎯6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +1.60%E +0.256%K +0.305%G +0.005%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:09
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:07
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:14
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:07
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:05
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:15
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
LowVig.ag🎯5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:11
Fliff🎯5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -3.12%E -0.525%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -8.75%E -8.03%K -97.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:07
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:18
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
SportsBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:10
NordicBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -8.01%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:03
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:06
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:12
Fanatics🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -9.63%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:19
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:20
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:20
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.52%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-03-07 19:20
Novig6.02I 16.61%NM 15.21%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.79%9.2%2026-03-07 19:19