La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Roberto Bautista Agut v Jack Draper
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Predicción 16.28%6.14momio equitativo
EV +22.12%
Ventaja +2.95%
Kelly +3.40%
Crecimiento +0.752%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.49%16.04%16.31%17.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.255.895.967.5019.05%16.99%16.78%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jack Draper (Visitante)
Predicción 83.72%1.19momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -3.24%
Kelly -24.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.03%83.96%83.69%87.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.121.131.1593.46%88.92%88.50%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +22.12%E +2.95%K +3.40%G +0.752% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -10.42%E -9.74%K -148.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:13 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.97%E +2.00%K +2.33%G +0.325% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.91%E -7.19%K -79.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%EV +4.21%E +0.657%K +0.779%G +0.033% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.58%E +0.409%K +0.486%G +0.013% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| GTbets | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.76%E +0.282%K +0.336%G +0.006% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +1.60%E +0.256%K +0.305%G +0.005% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Unibet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| betPARX | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bally Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Coolbet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:11 |
| Fliff | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -3.12%E -0.525%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -8.75%E -8.03%K -97.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| TABtouch | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:18 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| SportsBet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| NordicBet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betsson | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -8.01%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:03 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Neds | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| Fanatics | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -9.63%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.52%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Novig | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.21% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.79% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |