L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Roberto Bautista Agut v Jack Draper
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Prévision 16.28%6.14cote équitable
EV +22.12%
Avantage +2.95%
Kelly +3.40%
Croissance +0.752%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.49%16.04%16.31%17.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.255.895.967.5019.05%16.99%16.78%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jack Draper (Visiteur)
Prévision 83.72%1.19cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -3.24%
Kelly -24.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.03%83.96%83.69%87.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.121.131.1593.46%88.92%88.50%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +22.12%E +2.95%K +3.40%G +0.752% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -10.42%E -9.74%K -148.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:13 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.97%E +2.00%K +2.33%G +0.325% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.91%E -7.19%K -79.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%EV +4.21%E +0.657%K +0.779%G +0.033% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.58%E +0.409%K +0.486%G +0.013% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| GTbets | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.76%E +0.282%K +0.336%G +0.006% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +1.60%E +0.256%K +0.305%G +0.005% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Unibet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| betPARX | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bally Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Coolbet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:11 |
| Fliff | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -3.12%E -0.525%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -8.75%E -8.03%K -97.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| TABtouch | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:18 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| SportsBet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| NordicBet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betsson | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -8.01%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:03 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Neds | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| Fanatics | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -9.63%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.52%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Novig | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.21% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.79% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |