La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Roberto Bautista Agut v Jack Draper
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Roberto Bautista Agut (Casa)
Previsione 16.28%6.14quota equa
EV +22.12%
Vantaggio +2.95%
Kelly +3.40%
Crescita +0.752%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.49%16.04%16.31%17.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.255.895.967.5019.05%16.99%16.78%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jack Draper (Trasferta)
Previsione 83.72%1.19quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -3.24%
Kelly -24.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.03%83.96%83.69%87.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.071.121.131.1593.46%88.92%88.50%86.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +22.12%E +2.95%K +3.40%G +0.752% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -10.42%E -9.74%K -148.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:13 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.97%E +2.00%K +2.33%G +0.325% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.91%E -7.19%K -79.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%EV +4.21%E +0.657%K +0.779%G +0.033% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.58%E +0.409%K +0.486%G +0.013% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| GTbets | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.76%E +0.282%K +0.336%G +0.006% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +1.60%E +0.256%K +0.305%G +0.005% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Unibet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| betPARX | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bally Bet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Coolbet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:05 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 19:11 |
| Fliff | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -3.12%E -0.525%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -8.75%E -8.03%K -97.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:07 |
| TABtouch | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:18 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| SportsBet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| NordicBet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betsson | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -8.01%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:03 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Neds | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:06 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| Fanatics | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -9.63%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.52%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Novig | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.21% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.79% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |