مدرسة الاحتمالات

Roberto Bautista Agut v Jack Draper

البداية: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (المضيف)

التنبؤ 16.28%6.14السعر العادل
EV +22.12%
الأفضلية +2.95%
Kelly +3.40%
النمو +0.752%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.49%16.04%16.31%17.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.255.895.967.5019.05%16.99%16.78%13.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jack Draper (الضيف)

التنبؤ 83.72%1.19السعر العادل
EV -3.72%
الأفضلية -3.24%
Kelly -24.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
82.03%83.96%83.69%87.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.071.121.131.1593.46%88.92%88.50%86.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +22.12%E +2.95%K +3.40%G +0.752%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -10.42%E -9.74%K -148.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:13
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.97%E +2.00%K +2.33%G +0.325%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.91%E -7.19%K -79.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Pinnacle6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%EV +4.21%E +0.657%K +0.779%G +0.033%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 19:15
Unibet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +2.58%E +0.409%K +0.486%G +0.013%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:12
GTbets6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.76%E +0.282%K +0.336%G +0.006%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:05
DraftKings6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +1.60%E +0.256%K +0.305%G +0.005%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Bally Bet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:10
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -0.679%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:09
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:07
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:20
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:20
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:19
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:14
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:09
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:07
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:05
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:15
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.31%E -0.385%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:19
LowVig.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:10
BetOnline.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.496%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:11
Fliff5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -3.12%E -0.525%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -8.75%E -8.03%K -97.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:07
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Virgin Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.56%E -0.959%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:18
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
SportsBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.38%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:10
NordicBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.19%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Marathon Bet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -8.01%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:03
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:06
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:06
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -8.82%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:12
Fanatics5.55I 18.02%NM 16.67%EV -9.63%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.33%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:10
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:19
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.40%E -4.78%K -41.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.24%E -5.57%K -51.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:20
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.45%E -1.90%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.08%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.56%E -4.00%K -32.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:20
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.52%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.72%E -3.24%K -24.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-03-07 19:20
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-03-07 19:20
Novig6.02I 16.61%NM 15.21%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.79%9.2%2026-03-07 19:19