语言:简体中文
Marcos Giron v Jakub Mensik
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marcos Giron (主队)
预测 29.94%3.34公平赔率
EV +2.10%
优势 +0.616%
Kelly +0.872%
增长率 +0.018%
假设最高赔率为 3.41
博彩公司预测分布
27.91%29.88%29.82%31.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.153.103.4133.33%31.75%32.26%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jakub Mensik (客队)
预测 70.06%1.43公平赔率
EV -3.32%
优势 -2.41%
Kelly -8.74%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.38
博彩公司预测分布
68.81%70.12%70.18%72.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.361.361.3876.92%73.56%73.53%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marcos Giron (主队)：29.94%；Jakub Mensik (客队)：70.06%。 对于“Marcos Giron (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.34。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.41，对应+2.10%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.872%G +0.018% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.80%E +0.530%K +0.751%G +0.014% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.304%E +0.091%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.594%E -0.179%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.893%E -0.270%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 04:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.79%E -0.546%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.69%E -0.828%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.99%E -0.923%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -5.09%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 03:58 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |