Język:Polski
Marcos Giron v Jakub Mensik
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Marcos Giron (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 29.94%3.34kurs godziwy
EV +2.10%
Przewaga +0.616%
Kelly +0.872%
Wzrost +0.018%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.41
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.91%29.88%29.82%31.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.153.103.4133.33%31.75%32.26%29.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jakub Mensik (Goście)
Prognoza 70.06%1.43kurs godziwy
EV -3.32%
Przewaga -2.41%
Kelly -8.74%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.81%70.12%70.18%72.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.361.361.3876.92%73.56%73.53%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Marcos Giron (Gospodarze): 29.94%; Jakub Mensik (Goście): 70.06%. Dla wyniku Marcos Giron (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.34. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.41, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.10%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.872%G +0.018% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.80%E +0.530%K +0.751%G +0.014% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.304%E +0.091%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.594%E -0.179%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.893%E -0.270%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 04:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.79%E -0.546%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.69%E -0.828%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.99%E -0.923%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -5.09%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 03:58 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |