La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Marcos Giron v Jakub Mensik
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Marcos Giron (Casa)
Previsione 29.94%3.34quota equa
EV +2.10%
Vantaggio +0.616%
Kelly +0.872%
Crescita +0.018%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.91%29.88%29.82%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.153.103.4133.33%31.75%32.26%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)
Previsione 70.06%1.43quota equa
EV -3.32%
Vantaggio -2.41%
Kelly -8.74%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.81%70.12%70.18%72.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.361.361.3876.92%73.56%73.53%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.872%G +0.018% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.80%E +0.530%K +0.751%G +0.014% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.304%E +0.091%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.594%E -0.179%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.893%E -0.270%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 04:13 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.79%E -0.546%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.69%E -0.828%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.99%E -0.923%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| GTbets | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -5.09%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Fliff | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 03:58 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Novig | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |