StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marcos Giron v Jakub Mensik

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 04:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marcos Giron (Hemma)

Prognos 29.94%3.34rättvist odds
EV +2.10%
Fördel +0.616%
Kelly +0.872%
Tillväxt +0.018%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.91%29.88%29.82%31.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.153.103.4133.33%31.75%32.26%29.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Borta)

Prognos 70.06%1.43rättvist odds
EV -3.32%
Fördel -2.41%
Kelly -8.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.81%70.12%70.18%72.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.361.361.3876.92%73.56%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marcos Giron (Hemma): 29.94%; Jakub Mensik (Borta): 70.06%. För Marcos Giron (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.34. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.41, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.10%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.872%G +0.018%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 03:39
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.80%E +0.530%K +0.751%G +0.014%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 03:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.304%E +0.091%K +0.130%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 03:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.594%E -0.179%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 04:14
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.893%E -0.270%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 03:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 04:13
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 04:14
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.79%E -0.546%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.69%E -0.828%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 03:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.99%E -0.923%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 03:55
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 04:15
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 04:15
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 04:09
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 03:54
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 04:14
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 03:54
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 04:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 03:39
GTbets🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -5.09%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 04:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 04:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 03:55
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:55
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 04:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 04:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:54
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 04:00
DraftKings🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 04:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:40
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 04:14
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:40
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:40
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:38
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:40
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 04:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:39
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:39
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:39
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 03:38
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 03:39
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 03:39
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 03:58
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-07 04:14
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Novig3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%2.1%2026-03-07 04:15