Die Wettquotenschule

Marcos Giron v Jakub Mensik

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-07 04:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Marcos Giron (Heim)

Prognose 29.94%3.34faire Quote
EV +2.10%
Vorteil +0.616%
Kelly +0.872%
Wachstum +0.018%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.41

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.91%29.88%29.82%31.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.153.103.4133.33%31.75%32.26%29.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 70.06%1.43faire Quote
EV -3.32%
Vorteil -2.41%
Kelly -8.74%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.81%70.12%70.18%72.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.301.361.361.3876.92%73.56%73.53%72.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.872%G +0.018%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 03:39
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.80%E +0.530%K +0.751%G +0.014%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 03:55
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.304%E +0.091%K +0.130%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 03:54
Unibet (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.594%E -0.179%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 04:14
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.893%E -0.270%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 03:55
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 04:13
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 04:14
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.79%E -0.546%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.69%E -0.828%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 03:40
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.99%E -0.923%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 03:55
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 04:15
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 04:15
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 04:09
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 03:54
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:39
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 04:14
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 03:54
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 04:14
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 03:39
GTbets3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -5.09%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 04:15
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 04:00
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 03:55
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 03:55
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 04:15
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 04:15
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:54
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 04:00
DraftKings3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 04:14
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:40
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:40
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:40
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 03:39
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 04:14
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:40
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:38
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:40
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 04:14
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:39
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:39
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:39
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:39
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 03:38
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 03:40
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 03:39
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 03:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 03:58
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-07 04:14
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-03-07 04:15
Novig3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%2.1%2026-03-07 04:15