Langue:Français
Marcos Giron v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marcos Giron (Local)
Prévision 29.94%3.34cote équitable
EV +2.10%
Avantage +0.616%
Kelly +0.872%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 3.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.91%29.88%29.82%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.153.103.4133.33%31.75%32.26%29.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.06%1.43cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -8.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%70.12%70.18%72.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.361.361.3876.92%73.56%73.53%72.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marcos Giron (Local) : 29.94% ; Jakub Mensik (Visiteur) : 70.06%. Pour Marcos Giron (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.34. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.41, soit une espérance positive de +2.10%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.872%G +0.018% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.80%E +0.530%K +0.751%G +0.014% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.304%E +0.091%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.594%E -0.179%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.893%E -0.270%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 04:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.79%E -0.546%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.69%E -0.828%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.99%E -0.923%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -5.09%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 03:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |