La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marcos Giron v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marcos Giron (Local)
Predicción 29.94%3.34momio equitativo
EV +2.10%
Ventaja +0.616%
Kelly +0.872%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.91%29.88%29.82%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.153.103.4133.33%31.75%32.26%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 70.06%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -2.41%
Kelly -8.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.12%70.18%72.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.3876.92%73.56%73.53%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.872%G +0.018% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.80%E +0.530%K +0.751%G +0.014% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.304%E +0.091%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -0.594%E -0.179%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -0.893%E -0.270%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 04:13 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.19%E -0.361%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.79%E -0.546%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.69%E -0.828%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.99%E -0.923%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.12%E -4.57%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 04:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| GTbets | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -5.09%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 03:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:54 |
| Fliff | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 04:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.32%E -2.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:38 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 03:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:14 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |
| Novig | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 04:15 |