The School of Odds

Joao Fonseca v Tommy Paul

Matchstart: 2026-03-09 03:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Hemma)

Prognos 49.35%2.03rättvist odds
EV +43.11%
Fördel +14.86%
Kelly +22.69%
Tillväxt +9.78%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.02%47.48%49.53%55.70%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.672.151.952.9059.88%46.61%51.28%34.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Tommy Paul (Borta)

Prognos 50.65%1.97rättvist odds
EV +6.37%
Fördel +3.03%
Kelly +5.79%
Tillväxt +0.369%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.30%52.52%50.47%66.98%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.411.751.822.1070.92%57.28%54.95%47.62%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +43.11%E +14.86%K +22.69%G +9.78%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 02:39
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +42.12%E +14.62%K +22.40%G +9.44%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 02:37
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 02:41
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 02:42
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +40.64%E +14.26%K +21.97%G +8.93%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -28.58%E -20.27%K -69.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 02:37
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +38.17%E +13.63%K +21.21%G +8.09%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 02:41
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +35.70%E +12.98%K +20.40%G +7.28%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 02:36
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -25.54%E -17.37%K -54.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 02:36
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 02:41
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 02:36
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 02:36
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 02:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +25.83%E +10.13%K +16.67%G +4.31%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -21.99%E -14.28%K -40.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 02:47
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +15.97%E +6.79%K +11.83%G +1.89%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -20.47%E -13.04%K -35.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 02:48
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV +13.50%E +5.87%K +10.38%G +1.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -24.02%E -16.01%K -48.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 02:43
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 02:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 02:49
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -1.80%E -0.904%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 02:50
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.80%E -3.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:50
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 02:49
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:50
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:49
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:50
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 02:49
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 02:50
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -6.73%E -3.56%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -0.720%E -0.367%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.23%E -3.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-09 02:50
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.13%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 02:50
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 02:49
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 02:49
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 02:49
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 02:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.69%E -5.30%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 02:50
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:49
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:49
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 02:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017%5.6%2026-03-09 02:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017%5.6%2026-03-09 02:49
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 02:49
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -13.15%E -7.47%K -17.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 02:49
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.64%E -7.80%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017%7.1%2026-03-09 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.63%E -8.46%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017%7.8%2026-03-09 02:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.59%E -10.53%K -26.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +6.37%E +3.03%K +5.79%G +0.369%7.5%2026-03-09 02:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-03-09 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-09 02:50
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-09 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-03-09 02:50
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%4.4%2026-03-09 02:50