La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 49.35%2.03momio equitativo
EV +43.11%
Ventaja +14.86%
Kelly +22.69%
Crecimiento +9.78%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.02%47.48%49.53%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.672.151.952.9059.88%46.61%51.28%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 50.65%1.97momio equitativo
EV +6.37%
Ventaja +3.03%
Kelly +5.79%
Crecimiento +0.369%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%52.52%50.47%66.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.751.822.1070.92%57.28%54.95%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +43.11%E +14.86%K +22.69%G +9.78% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +42.12%E +14.62%K +22.40%G +9.44% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:37 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:42 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +40.64%E +14.26%K +21.97%G +8.93% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -28.58%E -20.27%K -69.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 02:37 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +38.17%E +13.63%K +21.21%G +8.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +35.70%E +12.98%K +20.40%G +7.28% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| GTbets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -25.54%E -17.37%K -54.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +25.83%E +10.13%K +16.67%G +4.31% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -21.99%E -14.28%K -40.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 02:47 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +15.97%E +6.79%K +11.83%G +1.89% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -20.47%E -13.04%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 02:48 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV +13.50%E +5.87%K +10.38%G +1.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -24.02%E -16.01%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 02:43 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -1.80%E -0.904%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.80%E -3.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -6.73%E -3.56%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -0.720%E -0.367%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.23%E -3.84%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.13%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.69%E -5.30%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -13.15%E -7.47%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.64%E -7.80%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.63%E -8.46%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.59%E -10.53%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +6.37%E +3.03%K +5.79%G +0.369% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |