Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Joao Fonseca v Tommy Paul
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 49.35%2.03kurs godziwy
EV +43.11%
Przewaga +14.86%
Kelly +22.69%
Wzrost +9.78%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.90
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.02%47.48%49.53%55.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.672.151.952.9059.88%46.61%51.28%34.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tommy Paul (Goście)
Prognoza 50.65%1.97kurs godziwy
EV +6.37%
Przewaga +3.03%
Kelly +5.79%
Wzrost +0.369%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.30%52.52%50.47%66.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.411.751.822.1070.92%57.28%54.95%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +43.11%E +14.86%K +22.69%G +9.78% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +42.12%E +14.62%K +22.40%G +9.44% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:37 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:42 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +40.64%E +14.26%K +21.97%G +8.93% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -28.58%E -20.27%K -69.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 02:37 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +38.17%E +13.63%K +21.21%G +8.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +35.70%E +12.98%K +20.40%G +7.28% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| GTbets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -25.54%E -17.37%K -54.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +25.83%E +10.13%K +16.67%G +4.31% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -21.99%E -14.28%K -40.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 02:47 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +15.97%E +6.79%K +11.83%G +1.89% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -20.47%E -13.04%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 02:48 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV +13.50%E +5.87%K +10.38%G +1.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -24.02%E -16.01%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 02:43 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -1.80%E -0.904%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.80%E -3.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -6.73%E -3.56%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -0.720%E -0.367%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.23%E -3.84%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.13%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.69%E -5.30%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -13.15%E -7.47%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.64%E -7.80%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.63%E -8.46%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.59%E -10.53%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +6.37%E +3.03%K +5.79%G +0.369% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |