L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Tommy Paul
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 49.35%2.03cote équitable
EV +43.11%
Avantage +14.86%
Kelly +22.69%
Croissance +9.78%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.02%47.48%49.53%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.672.151.952.9059.88%46.61%51.28%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tommy Paul (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.65%1.97cote équitable
EV +6.37%
Avantage +3.03%
Kelly +5.79%
Croissance +0.369%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%52.52%50.47%66.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.751.822.1070.92%57.28%54.95%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +43.11%E +14.86%K +22.69%G +9.78% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +42.12%E +14.62%K +22.40%G +9.44% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:37 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:42 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +40.64%E +14.26%K +21.97%G +8.93% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -28.58%E -20.27%K -69.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 02:37 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +38.17%E +13.63%K +21.21%G +8.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +35.70%E +12.98%K +20.40%G +7.28% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| GTbets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -25.54%E -17.37%K -54.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +25.83%E +10.13%K +16.67%G +4.31% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -21.99%E -14.28%K -40.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 02:47 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +15.97%E +6.79%K +11.83%G +1.89% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -20.47%E -13.04%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 02:48 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV +13.50%E +5.87%K +10.38%G +1.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -24.02%E -16.01%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 02:43 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -1.80%E -0.904%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.80%E -3.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -6.73%E -3.56%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -0.720%E -0.367%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.23%E -3.84%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.13%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.69%E -5.30%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -13.15%E -7.47%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.64%E -7.80%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.63%E -8.46%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.59%E -10.53%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +6.37%E +3.03%K +5.79%G +0.369% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |