Die Wettquotenschule

Joao Fonseca v Tommy Paul

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-09 03:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Heim)

Prognose 49.35%2.03faire Quote
EV +43.11%
Vorteil +14.86%
Kelly +22.69%
Wachstum +9.78%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.02%47.48%49.53%55.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.672.151.952.9059.88%46.61%51.28%34.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Tommy Paul (Auswärts)

Prognose 50.65%1.97faire Quote
EV +6.37%
Vorteil +3.03%
Kelly +5.79%
Wachstum +0.369%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.30%52.52%50.47%66.98%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.411.751.822.1070.92%57.28%54.95%47.62%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +43.11%E +14.86%K +22.69%G +9.78%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 02:39
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +42.12%E +14.62%K +22.40%G +9.44%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 02:37
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 02:41
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 02:42
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +40.64%E +14.26%K +21.97%G +8.93%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -28.58%E -20.27%K -69.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 02:37
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +38.17%E +13.63%K +21.21%G +8.09%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 02:41
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +35.70%E +12.98%K +20.40%G +7.28%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 02:36
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -25.54%E -17.37%K -54.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 02:36
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 02:41
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 02:36
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 02:36
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 02:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +25.83%E +10.13%K +16.67%G +4.31%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -21.99%E -14.28%K -40.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 02:47
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +15.97%E +6.79%K +11.83%G +1.89%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -20.47%E -13.04%K -35.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 02:48
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV +13.50%E +5.87%K +10.38%G +1.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -24.02%E -16.01%K -48.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 02:43
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 02:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 02:49
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -1.80%E -0.904%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 02:50
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.80%E -3.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 02:50
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 02:49
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:50
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:49
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:50
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 02:49
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 02:50
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -6.73%E -3.56%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -0.720%E -0.367%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.23%E -3.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-09 02:50
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.13%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 02:50
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 02:49
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 02:49
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 02:49
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 02:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.69%E -5.30%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 02:50
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:49
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 02:49
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 02:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017%5.6%2026-03-09 02:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017%5.6%2026-03-09 02:49
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 02:49
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -13.15%E -7.47%K -17.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 02:49
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.64%E -7.80%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017%7.1%2026-03-09 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.63%E -8.46%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017%7.8%2026-03-09 02:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.59%E -10.53%K -26.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +6.37%E +3.03%K +5.79%G +0.369%7.5%2026-03-09 02:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-03-09 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-09 02:50
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-09 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-03-09 02:50
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%4.4%2026-03-09 02:50