La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Joao Fonseca v Tommy Paul
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Joao Fonseca (Casa)
Previsione 49.35%2.03quota equa
EV +43.11%
Vantaggio +14.86%
Kelly +22.69%
Crescita +9.78%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.02%47.48%49.53%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.672.151.952.9059.88%46.61%51.28%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tommy Paul (Trasferta)
Previsione 50.65%1.97quota equa
EV +6.37%
Vantaggio +3.03%
Kelly +5.79%
Crescita +0.369%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%52.52%50.47%66.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.751.822.1070.92%57.28%54.95%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +43.11%E +14.86%K +22.69%G +9.78% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +42.12%E +14.62%K +22.40%G +9.44% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:37 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +41.13%E +14.38%K +22.11%G +9.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:42 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +40.64%E +14.26%K +21.97%G +8.93% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -28.58%E -20.27%K -69.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 02:37 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +38.17%E +13.63%K +21.21%G +8.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -27.57%E -19.28%K -64.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +35.70%E +12.98%K +20.40%G +7.28% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| GTbets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -25.54%E -17.37%K -54.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +33.24%E +12.31%K +19.55%G +6.50% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -26.55%E -18.31%K -59.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 02:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -27.06%E -18.79%K -61.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 02:36 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV +30.77%E +11.61%K +18.65%G +5.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -28.07%E -19.77%K -66.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +25.83%E +10.13%K +16.67%G +4.31% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -21.99%E -14.28%K -40.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 02:47 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +15.97%E +6.79%K +11.83%G +1.89% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -20.47%E -13.04%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 02:48 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV +13.50%E +5.87%K +10.38%G +1.40% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -24.02%E -16.01%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 02:43 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.31%E -0.653%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -1.80%E -0.904%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.80%E -3.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -6.73%E -3.56%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -0.720%E -0.367%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.23%E -3.84%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.13%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.23%E -0.629%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.71%E -4.71%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.69%E -5.30%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -10.19%E -5.60%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.18%E -6.21%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -13.15%E -7.47%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.64%E -7.80%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.63%E -8.46%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +1.31%E +0.653%K +1.31%G +0.017% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.59%E -10.53%K -26.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +6.37%E +3.03%K +5.79%G +0.369% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 02:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 02:50 |