StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jacob Fearnley v Taylor Fritz

Matchstart: 2026-03-08 03:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jacob Fearnley (Hemma)

Prognos 10.83%9.23rättvist odds
EV +40.83%
Fördel +3.14%
Kelly +3.40%
Tillväxt +1.39%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.47%12.71%10.63%22.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.207.879.0013.0023.81%12.71%11.11%7.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Borta)

Prognos 89.17%1.12rättvist odds
EV +8.78%
Fördel +7.20%
Kelly +39.93%
Tillväxt +3.51%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.49%87.29%89.37%92.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.021.091.061.2298.04%91.51%94.34%81.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jacob Fearnley (Hemma): 10.83%; Taylor Fritz (Borta): 89.17%. För Jacob Fearnley (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 9.23. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 13.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +40.83%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +8.78%E +7.20%K +39.93%G +3.51%5.8%2026-03-08 02:11
Pinnacle🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -45.51%E -9.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%3.2%2026-03-08 02:14
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%4.6%2026-03-08 02:11
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -50.17%E -10.91%K -13.94%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%5.1%2026-03-08 02:13
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%5.6%2026-03-08 02:07
BetOnline.ag🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%4.2%2026-03-08 02:12
LowVig.ag🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%4.2%2026-03-08 02:11
GTbets🎯4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -48.43%E -10.18%K -12.88%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%5.0%2026-03-08 02:06
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%6.3%2026-03-08 02:03
NetBet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%6.3%2026-03-08 02:07
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%7.6%2026-03-08 02:07
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%7.6%2026-03-08 02:07
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -46.92%E -9.58%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%5.2%2026-03-08 02:07
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%6.0%2026-03-08 02:07
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%8.6%2026-03-08 02:11
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -44.75%E -8.77%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV +3.43%E +2.96%K +21.46%G +0.737%5.8%2026-03-08 02:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:18
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:19
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:20
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:20
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
NordicBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:20
Betsson🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:20
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19
BoyleSports🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +40.83%E +3.14%K +3.40%G +1.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 02:19
DraftKings🎯12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +32.16%E +2.64%K +2.87%G +0.924%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 02:19
Betway🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +19.16%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:19
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Bet Victor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 02:19
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Winamax (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 02:19
BetMGM🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 02:19
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
TAB🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Fliff🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.05%E -8.87%K -452.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.98%1.17I 85.47%NM 92.02%-7.1%2026-03-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-03-08 02:20
Matchbook16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-03-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Novig9.43I 10.60%NM 9.93%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.07%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19