The School of Odds

Jacob Fearnley v Taylor Fritz

Matchstart: 2026-03-08 03:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Jacob Fearnley (Hemma)

Prognos 10.83%9.23rättvist odds
EV +40.83%
Fördel +3.14%
Kelly +3.40%
Tillväxt +1.39%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.47%12.71%10.63%22.51%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.207.879.0013.0023.81%12.71%11.11%7.69%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Taylor Fritz (Borta)

Prognos 89.17%1.12rättvist odds
EV +8.78%
Fördel +7.20%
Kelly +39.93%
Tillväxt +3.51%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.49%87.29%89.37%92.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.021.091.061.2298.04%91.51%94.34%81.97%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +8.78%E +7.20%K +39.93%G +3.51%5.8%2026-03-08 02:11
Pinnacle5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -45.51%E -9.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%3.2%2026-03-08 02:14
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%4.6%2026-03-08 02:11
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -50.17%E -10.91%K -13.94%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%5.1%2026-03-08 02:13
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%5.6%2026-03-08 02:07
BetOnline.ag4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%4.2%2026-03-08 02:12
LowVig.ag4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%4.2%2026-03-08 02:11
GTbets4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -48.43%E -10.18%K -12.88%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%5.0%2026-03-08 02:06
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%6.3%2026-03-08 02:03
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%6.3%2026-03-08 02:07
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%7.6%2026-03-08 02:07
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%7.6%2026-03-08 02:07
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -46.92%E -9.58%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%5.2%2026-03-08 02:07
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%6.0%2026-03-08 02:07
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%8.6%2026-03-08 02:11
SportsBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -44.75%E -8.77%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV +3.43%E +2.96%K +21.46%G +0.737%5.8%2026-03-08 02:11
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:18
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:19
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:20
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:20
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Hard Rock Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
NordicBet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:20
Betsson8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:20
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Betclic (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19
BoyleSports13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +40.83%E +3.14%K +3.40%G +1.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 02:19
DraftKings12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +32.16%E +2.64%K +2.87%G +0.924%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 02:19
Betway11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +19.16%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:19
888sport9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 02:19
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 02:19
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 02:19
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Fliff9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.05%E -8.87%K -452.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.98%1.17I 85.47%NM 92.02%-7.1%2026-03-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-03-08 02:20
Matchbook16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-03-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Novig9.43I 10.60%NM 9.93%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.07%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19