Langue:Français
Jacob Fearnley v Taylor Fritz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Prévision 10.83%9.23cote équitable
EV +40.83%
Avantage +3.14%
Kelly +3.40%
Croissance +1.39%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.47%12.71%10.63%22.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.207.879.0013.0023.81%12.71%11.11%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)
Prévision 89.17%1.12cote équitable
EV +8.78%
Avantage +7.20%
Kelly +39.93%
Croissance +3.51%
avec la cote maximale 1.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.49%87.29%89.37%92.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.091.061.2298.04%91.51%94.34%81.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jacob Fearnley (Local) : 10.83% ; Taylor Fritz (Visiteur) : 89.17%. Pour Jacob Fearnley (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.23. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +40.83%.
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +8.78%E +7.20%K +39.93%G +3.51% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -45.51%E -9.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -50.17%E -10.91%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 02:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:12 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -48.43%E -10.18%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:06 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -46.92%E -9.58%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -44.75%E -8.77%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV +3.43%E +2.96%K +21.46%G +0.737% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +40.83%E +3.14%K +3.40%G +1.39% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +32.16%E +2.64%K +2.87%G +0.924% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +19.16%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.05%E -8.87%K -452.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.98% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 92.02% | -7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Novig◎ | 9.43I 10.60%NM 9.93% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.07% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |