Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacob Fearnley v Taylor Fritz

Início: 2026-03-08 03:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacob Fearnley (Local)

Previsão 10.83%9.23odd justa
EV +40.83%
Vantagem +3.14%
Kelly +3.40%
Crescimento +1.39%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.47%12.71%10.63%22.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.207.879.0013.0023.81%12.71%11.11%7.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Taylor Fritz (Visitante)

Previsão 89.17%1.12odd justa
EV +8.78%
Vantagem +7.20%
Kelly +39.93%
Crescimento +3.51%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.49%87.29%89.37%92.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.021.091.061.2298.04%91.51%94.34%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 10.83%; Taylor Fritz (Visitante): 89.17%. Para Jacob Fearnley (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.23. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 13.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +40.83%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +8.78%E +7.20%K +39.93%G +3.51%5.8%2026-03-08 02:11
Pinnacle🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -45.51%E -9.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%3.2%2026-03-08 02:14
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%4.6%2026-03-08 02:11
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -50.17%E -10.91%K -13.94%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%5.1%2026-03-08 02:13
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%5.6%2026-03-08 02:07
BetOnline.ag🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%4.2%2026-03-08 02:12
LowVig.ag🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%4.2%2026-03-08 02:11
GTbets🎯4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -48.43%E -10.18%K -12.88%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%5.0%2026-03-08 02:06
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%6.3%2026-03-08 02:03
NetBet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%6.3%2026-03-08 02:07
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%7.6%2026-03-08 02:07
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%7.6%2026-03-08 02:07
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -46.92%E -9.58%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%5.2%2026-03-08 02:07
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%6.0%2026-03-08 02:07
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%8.6%2026-03-08 02:11
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -44.75%E -8.77%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV +3.43%E +2.96%K +21.46%G +0.737%5.8%2026-03-08 02:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:18
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:19
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:20
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:20
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
NordicBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:20
Betsson🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:20
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19
BoyleSports🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +40.83%E +3.14%K +3.40%G +1.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 02:19
DraftKings🎯12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +32.16%E +2.64%K +2.87%G +0.924%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 02:19
Betway🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +19.16%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:19
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Bet Victor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 02:19
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Winamax (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 02:19
BetMGM🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 02:19
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
TAB🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Fliff🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.05%E -8.87%K -452.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.98%1.17I 85.47%NM 92.02%-7.1%2026-03-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-03-08 02:20
Matchbook16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-03-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Novig9.43I 10.60%NM 9.93%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.07%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19