مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Jacob Fearnley v Taylor Fritz
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)
التنبؤ 10.83%9.23السعر العادل
EV +40.83%
الأفضلية +3.14%
Kelly +3.40%
النمو +1.39%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.47%12.71%10.63%22.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.207.879.0013.0023.81%12.71%11.11%7.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Taylor Fritz (الضيف)
التنبؤ 89.17%1.12السعر العادل
EV +8.78%
الأفضلية +7.20%
Kelly +39.93%
النمو +3.51%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.49%87.29%89.37%92.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.021.091.061.2298.04%91.51%94.34%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +8.78%E +7.20%K +39.93%G +3.51% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| Pinnacle | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -45.51%E -9.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Bally Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -50.17%E -10.91%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 02:13 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:12 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| GTbets | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -48.43%E -10.18%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:06 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Neds | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Bet Right | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -46.92%E -9.58%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Fanatics | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| SportsBet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -44.75%E -8.77%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV +3.43%E +2.96%K +21.46%G +0.737% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bovada | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:18 |
| Coral | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| FanDuel | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| theScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| NordicBet | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betsson | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| TABtouch | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Caesars | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| BoyleSports | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +40.83%E +3.14%K +3.40%G +1.39% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| DraftKings | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +32.16%E +2.64%K +2.87%G +0.924% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betway | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +19.16%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| 888sport | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bet Victor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| BetMGM | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| TAB | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Paddy Power | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Fliff | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.05%E -8.87%K -452.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.98% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 92.02% | -7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Matchbook | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Novig | 9.43I 10.60%NM 9.93% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.07% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |