Szkoła Kursów

Jacob Fearnley v Taylor Fritz

Początek: 2026-03-08 03:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 10.83%9.23kurs godziwy
EV +40.83%
Przewaga +3.14%
Kelly +3.40%
Wzrost +1.39%

przy maksymalnym kursie 13.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.47%12.71%10.63%22.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.207.879.0013.0023.81%12.71%11.11%7.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Taylor Fritz (Goście)

Prognoza 89.17%1.12kurs godziwy
EV +8.78%
Przewaga +7.20%
Kelly +39.93%
Wzrost +3.51%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.22

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
77.49%87.29%89.37%92.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.021.091.061.2298.04%91.51%94.34%81.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +8.78%E +7.20%K +39.93%G +3.51%5.8%2026-03-08 02:11
Pinnacle5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -45.51%E -9.05%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%3.2%2026-03-08 02:14
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%4.6%2026-03-08 02:11
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -50.17%E -10.91%K -13.94%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%5.1%2026-03-08 02:13
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45%5.6%2026-03-08 02:07
BetOnline.ag4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%4.2%2026-03-08 02:12
LowVig.ag4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%4.2%2026-03-08 02:11
GTbets4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -48.43%E -10.18%K -12.88%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%5.0%2026-03-08 02:06
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%6.3%2026-03-08 02:03
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%6.3%2026-03-08 02:07
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%7.6%2026-03-08 02:07
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96%7.6%2026-03-08 02:07
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -46.92%E -9.58%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%5.2%2026-03-08 02:07
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%6.0%2026-03-08 02:07
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51%8.6%2026-03-08 02:11
SportsBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -44.75%E -8.77%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV +3.43%E +2.96%K +21.46%G +0.737%5.8%2026-03-08 02:11
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:18
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:19
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:20
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:20
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:20
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Hard Rock Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
NordicBet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:20
Betsson8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:20
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Betclic (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19
BoyleSports13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +40.83%E +3.14%K +3.40%G +1.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 02:19
DraftKings12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +32.16%E +2.64%K +2.87%G +0.924%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 02:19
Betway11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +19.16%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:19
888sport9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 02:19
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 02:19
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 02:19
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Fliff9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.05%E -8.87%K -452.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.98%1.17I 85.47%NM 92.02%-7.1%2026-03-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-08 02:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-03-08 02:20
Matchbook16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-03-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Novig9.43I 10.60%NM 9.93%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.07%6.8%2026-03-08 02:19