Idioma:Español
Jacob Fearnley v Taylor Fritz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Predicción 10.83%9.23momio equitativo
EV +40.83%
Ventaja +3.14%
Kelly +3.40%
Crecimiento +1.39%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.47%12.71%10.63%22.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.207.879.0013.0023.81%12.71%11.11%7.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Taylor Fritz (Visitante)
Predicción 89.17%1.12momio equitativo
EV +8.78%
Ventaja +7.20%
Kelly +39.93%
Crecimiento +3.51%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.49%87.29%89.37%92.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.021.091.061.2298.04%91.51%94.34%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 10.83%; Taylor Fritz (Visitante): 89.17%. Para Jacob Fearnley (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.23. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 13.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +40.83%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +8.78%E +7.20%K +39.93%G +3.51% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.26%EV -45.51%E -9.05%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.74%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 02:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -50.17%E -10.91%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 02:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +7.00%E +5.83%K +35.00%G +2.45% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:12 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -46.27%E -9.33%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -48.43%E -10.18%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.00%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:06 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -51.25%E -11.39%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -53.96%E -12.70%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV +6.11%E +5.13%K +32.15%G +1.96% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -46.92%E -9.58%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -49.08%E -10.44%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -54.50%E -12.98%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV +5.22%E +4.42%K +28.98%G +1.51% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -44.75%E -8.77%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV +3.43%E +2.96%K +21.46%G +0.737% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.59%E -4.29%K -65.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -5.21%E -0.595%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.48%E -5.17%K -91.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +40.83%E +3.14%K +3.40%G +1.39% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +32.16%E +2.64%K +2.87%G +0.924% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +19.16%E +1.74%K +1.92%G +0.367% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.92%E -0.932%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.37%E -6.07%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -2.50%E -0.278%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.34%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.27%E -6.99%K -181.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +8.33%E +0.833%K +0.926%G +0.077% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.16%E -7.92%K -271.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +2.91%E +0.307%K +0.343%G +0.010% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.05%E -8.87%K -452.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.98% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 92.02% | -7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Novig◎ | 9.43I 10.60%NM 9.93% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.07% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |