Школа коэффициентов

Jacob Fearnley v Damir Dzumhur

Начало: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

60 букмекерских контор (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Jacob Fearnley (Хозяева)

Прогноз 56.50%1.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.565%
Преимущество +0.317%
Kelly +0.724%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.78

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.01%56.84%56.62%62.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.661.661.7866.67%60.29%60.24%56.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Damir Dzumhur (Гости)

Прогноз 43.50%2.30справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.76%
Преимущество +3.50%
Kelly +5.84%
Рост +0.511%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.50%43.16%43.38%46.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.942.192.172.5051.55%45.69%46.19%40.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (60 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.76%E +3.50%K +5.84%G +0.511%6.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +4.41%E +1.84%K +3.15%G +0.139%4.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%7.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +1.36%E +0.584%K +1.02%G +0.014%6.6%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.43%E -8.02%K -22.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.057%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.99%E -8.44%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 21:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 21:10
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -6.90%E -3.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 21:10
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:59
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:07
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.21%E -3.89%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:08
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:08
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 21:19
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 21:20
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:08
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 21:06
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:05
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.95%E -4.81%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:08
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:08
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:59
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.25%E -5.52%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 20:56
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -15.60%E -8.04%K -16.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 21:18
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%8.6%2026-03-05 21:20