Szkoła Kursów

Jacob Fearnley v Damir Dzumhur

Początek: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.50%1.77kurs godziwy
EV +0.565%
Przewaga +0.317%
Kelly +0.724%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.78

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.01%56.84%56.62%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.661.661.7866.67%60.29%60.24%56.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Damir Dzumhur (Goście)

Prognoza 43.50%2.30kurs godziwy
EV +8.76%
Przewaga +3.50%
Kelly +5.84%
Wzrost +0.511%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.50%43.16%43.38%46.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.942.192.172.5051.55%45.69%46.19%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.76%E +3.50%K +5.84%G +0.511%6.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +4.41%E +1.84%K +3.15%G +0.139%4.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%7.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +1.36%E +0.584%K +1.02%G +0.014%6.6%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.43%E -8.02%K -22.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.057%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.99%E -8.44%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 21:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 21:10
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -6.90%E -3.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 21:10
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:59
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:07
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.21%E -3.89%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:08
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:08
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 21:19
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 21:20
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:08
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 21:06
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:05
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.95%E -4.81%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:08
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:08
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:59
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.25%E -5.52%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 20:56
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -15.60%E -8.04%K -16.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 21:18
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%8.6%2026-03-05 21:20