L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Jacob Fearnley v Damir Dzumhur
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Prévision 56.50%1.77cote équitable
EV +0.565%
Avantage +0.317%
Kelly +0.724%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.01%56.84%56.62%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.661.661.7866.67%60.29%60.24%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Damir Dzumhur (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.50%2.30cote équitable
EV +8.76%
Avantage +3.50%
Kelly +5.84%
Croissance +0.511%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%43.16%43.38%46.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.192.172.5051.55%45.69%46.19%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.76%E +3.50%K +5.84%G +0.511% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +4.41%E +1.84%K +3.15%G +0.139% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +1.36%E +0.584%K +1.02%G +0.014% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.43%E -8.02%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.057%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.99%E -8.44%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -6.90%E -3.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:07 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.21%E -3.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.34%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:06 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.95%E -4.81%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.25%E -5.52%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:09 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -15.60%E -8.04%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 21:18 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |