La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jacob Fearnley v Damir Dzumhur
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jacob Fearnley (Casa)
Previsione 56.50%1.77quota equa
EV +0.565%
Vantaggio +0.317%
Kelly +0.724%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.01%56.84%56.62%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.661.661.7866.67%60.29%60.24%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Damir Dzumhur (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.50%2.30quota equa
EV +8.76%
Vantaggio +3.50%
Kelly +5.84%
Crescita +0.511%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%43.16%43.38%46.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.192.172.5051.55%45.69%46.19%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.76%E +3.50%K +5.84%G +0.511% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +4.41%E +1.84%K +3.15%G +0.139% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +1.36%E +0.584%K +1.02%G +0.014% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.43%E -8.02%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.057%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.99%E -8.44%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -6.90%E -3.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:07 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.21%E -3.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.34%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:06 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.95%E -4.81%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.25%E -5.52%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:09 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -15.60%E -8.04%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 21:18 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |