La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jacob Fearnley v Damir Dzumhur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Predicción 56.50%1.77momio equitativo
EV +0.565%
Ventaja +0.317%
Kelly +0.724%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.01%56.84%56.62%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.661.661.7866.67%60.29%60.24%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Damir Dzumhur (Visitante)
Predicción 43.50%2.30momio equitativo
EV +8.76%
Ventaja +3.50%
Kelly +5.84%
Crecimiento +0.511%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%43.16%43.38%46.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.192.172.5051.55%45.69%46.19%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.76%E +3.50%K +5.84%G +0.511% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +4.41%E +1.84%K +3.15%G +0.139% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +1.36%E +0.584%K +1.02%G +0.014% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.43%E -8.02%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.057%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.99%E -8.44%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -6.90%E -3.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:07 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.21%E -3.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.34%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:06 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.95%E -4.81%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.25%E -5.52%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:09 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -15.60%E -8.04%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 21:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |