مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Jacob Fearnley v Damir Dzumhur
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)
التنبؤ 56.50%1.77السعر العادل
EV +0.565%
الأفضلية +0.317%
Kelly +0.724%
النمو +0.004%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.01%56.84%56.62%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.661.661.7866.67%60.29%60.24%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Damir Dzumhur (الضيف)
التنبؤ 43.50%2.30السعر العادل
EV +8.76%
الأفضلية +3.50%
Kelly +5.84%
النمو +0.511%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.50%43.16%43.38%46.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.192.172.5051.55%45.69%46.19%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.76%E +3.50%K +5.84%G +0.511% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +4.41%E +1.84%K +3.15%G +0.139% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +1.36%E +0.584%K +1.02%G +0.014% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.43%E -8.02%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.057%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.99%E -8.44%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -6.90%E -3.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:07 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.21%E -3.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:19 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.34%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:06 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.95%E -4.81%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:08 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.25%E -5.52%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 20:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:09 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 21:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -15.60%E -8.04%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 21:18 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |