Die Wettquotenschule

Jacob Fearnley v Damir Dzumhur

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Jacob Fearnley (Heim)

Prognose 56.50%1.77faire Quote
EV +0.565%
Vorteil +0.317%
Kelly +0.724%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.01%56.84%56.62%62.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.501.661.661.7866.67%60.29%60.24%56.18%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Damir Dzumhur (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.50%2.30faire Quote
EV +8.76%
Vorteil +3.50%
Kelly +5.84%
Wachstum +0.511%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.50%43.16%43.38%46.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.942.192.172.5051.55%45.69%46.19%40.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +8.76%E +3.50%K +5.84%G +0.511%6.7%2026-03-05 21:20
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.25%E -10.17%K -30.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.58%E +2.69%K +4.54%G +0.299%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +4.41%E +1.84%K +3.15%G +0.139%4.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%5.7%2026-03-05 21:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +3.54%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.091%7.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +2.23%E +0.950%K +1.65%G +0.037%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +1.36%E +0.584%K +1.02%G +0.014%6.6%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.43%E -8.02%K -22.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.057%E +0.025%K +0.044%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -12.99%E -8.44%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -2.12%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:20
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 21:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 21:10
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -6.90%E -3.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 21:10
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:59
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.77%E -3.67%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:07
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -8.21%E -3.89%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 21:08
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:08
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.21%E -3.74%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 21:19
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.64%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 21:20
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:08
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:10
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 21:06
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.51%E -4.57%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 21:05
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -9.95%E -4.81%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:08
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.13%E -0.646%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:08
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:59
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.565%E +0.317%K +0.724%G +0.004%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.25%E -5.52%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 20:56
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.26%E -1.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.99%E -6.50%K -12.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -2.82%E -1.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -15.60%E -8.04%K -16.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 21:18
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-05 21:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-03-05 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%6.2%2026-03-05 21:20
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-03-05 21:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%8.6%2026-03-05 21:20