StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gael Monfils v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Matchstart: 2026-03-06 23:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gael Monfils (Hemma)

Prognos 19.20%5.21rättvist odds
EV +5.63%
Fördel +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
Tillväxt +0.070%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.17%19.16%19.14%21.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.864.825.5022.73%20.58%20.75%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Borta)

Prognos 80.80%1.24rättvist odds
EV -2.24%
Fördel -1.85%
Kelly -10.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.85%80.84%80.86%82.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.121.181.181.2189.29%84.91%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Gael Monfils (Hemma): 19.20%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Borta): 80.80%. För Gael Monfils (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.21. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.63%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.63%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.070%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 22:19
1xBet🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%EV +4.86%E +0.890%K +1.09%G +0.053%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.51%E -8.49%K -79.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.826%E +0.157%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 22:19
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.134%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 22:45
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.05%E -0.403%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
Pinnacle🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV -3.78%E -0.755%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -2.24%E -1.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 22:20
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
DraftKings🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.94%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:54
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:44
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 22:45
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:55
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:54
GTbets🎯4.86I 20.58%NM 19.54%EV -6.66%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 22:20
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 22:19
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:19
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Bally Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:53
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:20
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
BetUS🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 22:53
Fanatics🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.70%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.09%E -6.16%K -47.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 22:54
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:55
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:12
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 22:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-03-06 22:55
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-03-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-03-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-03-06 22:55
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-03-06 22:55
Novig5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%2.4%2026-03-06 22:54