A Escola das Odds

Gael Monfils v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Início: 2026-03-06 23:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gael Monfils (Local)

Previsão 19.20%5.21odd justa
EV +5.63%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescimento +0.070%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.17%19.16%19.14%21.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.404.864.825.5022.73%20.58%20.75%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)

Previsão 80.80%1.24odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.85%
Kelly -10.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.85%80.84%80.86%82.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.181.181.2189.29%84.91%84.75%82.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.63%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.070%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 22:19
1xBet5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%EV +4.86%E +0.890%K +1.09%G +0.053%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 22:54
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 22:55
Tipico (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.51%E -8.49%K -79.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.826%E +0.157%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 22:19
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.134%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Marathon Bet5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 22:45
SportsBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.05%E -0.403%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
Pinnacle5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV -3.78%E -0.755%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -2.24%E -1.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 22:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:44
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:20
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
DraftKings4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.94%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:54
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:44
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 22:45
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:55
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:54
GTbets4.86I 20.58%NM 19.54%EV -6.66%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:54
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 22:20
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 22:19
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 22:55
BetOnline.ag4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:19
LowVig.ag4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:19
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Bally Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:53
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:20
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:20
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 22:53
Fanatics4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.70%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.09%E -6.16%K -47.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 22:54
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:55
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:12
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 22:20
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-03-06 22:55
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-03-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-03-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-03-06 22:55
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-03-06 22:55
Novig5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%2.4%2026-03-06 22:54