StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Gael Monfils v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-06 23:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Gael Monfils (Heim)

Prognose 19.20%5.21faire Quote
EV +5.63%
Vorteil +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
Wachstum +0.070%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.17%19.16%19.14%21.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.404.864.825.5022.73%20.58%20.75%18.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Auswärts)

Prognose 80.80%1.24faire Quote
EV -2.24%
Vorteil -1.85%
Kelly -10.66%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.85%80.84%80.86%82.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.121.181.181.2189.29%84.91%84.75%82.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Gael Monfils (Heim): 19.20%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Auswärts): 80.80%. Für Gael Monfils (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.21. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.63%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.63%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.070%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 22:19
1xBet🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%EV +4.86%E +0.890%K +1.09%G +0.053%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.51%E -8.49%K -79.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.826%E +0.157%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 22:19
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.134%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Marathon Bet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 22:45
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.05%E -0.403%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
Pinnacle🎯5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV -3.78%E -0.755%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -2.24%E -1.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 22:20
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:20
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
DraftKings🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.94%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:54
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:44
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 22:45
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:55
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:54
GTbets🎯4.86I 20.58%NM 19.54%EV -6.66%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 22:20
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 22:19
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:19
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Bally Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:53
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:20
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
BetUS🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 22:53
Fanatics🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.70%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.09%E -6.16%K -47.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 22:54
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:55
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:19
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:12
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 22:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-03-06 22:55
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-03-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-03-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-03-06 22:55
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-03-06 22:55
Novig5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%2.4%2026-03-06 22:54