Język:Polski
Gael Monfils v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Gael Monfils (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 19.20%5.21kurs godziwy
EV +5.63%
Przewaga +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
Wzrost +0.070%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.17%19.16%19.14%21.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.404.864.825.5022.73%20.58%20.75%18.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Goście)
Prognoza 80.80%1.24kurs godziwy
EV -2.24%
Przewaga -1.85%
Kelly -10.66%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.21
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.85%80.84%80.86%82.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.181.181.2189.29%84.91%84.75%82.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Gael Monfils (Gospodarze): 19.20%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Goście): 80.80%. Dla wyniku Gael Monfils (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.21. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.63%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.63%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.070% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%EV +4.86%E +0.890%K +1.09%G +0.053% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.51%E -8.49%K -79.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.826%E +0.157%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.134%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.05%E -0.403%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV -3.78%E -0.755%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -2.24%E -1.85%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.94%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.54%EV -6.66%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 22:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.70%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.09%E -6.16%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:12 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |