La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Gael Monfils v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Gael Monfils (Casa)
Previsione 19.20%5.21quota equa
EV +5.63%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.070%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.17%19.16%19.14%21.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.864.825.5022.73%20.58%20.75%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Trasferta)
Previsione 80.80%1.24quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -1.85%
Kelly -10.66%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.85%80.84%80.86%82.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.181.181.2189.29%84.91%84.75%82.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.63%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.070% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| 1xBet | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%EV +4.86%E +0.890%K +1.09%G +0.053% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +1.79%E +0.337%K +0.415%G +0.007% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.51%E -8.49%K -79.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.826%E +0.157%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| FanDuel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.134%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -1.09%E -0.213%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| SportsBet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.05%E -0.403%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Pinnacle | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV -3.78%E -0.755%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -2.24%E -1.85%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.98%E -0.795%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.94%E -0.997%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Bet Right | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betsson | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.90%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| GTbets | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.54%EV -6.66%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| theScore Bet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Fliff | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Casumo | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Bally Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| betPARX | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.05%E -2.54%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:53 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| BetUS | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.78%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 22:53 |
| Fanatics | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.70%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.09%E -6.16%K -47.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.66%E -2.53%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.58%E -3.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.47%E -4.68%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 22:12 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.50%E -3.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.28%E -5.41%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Novig | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |