Idioma:Português
Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Zverev
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Previsão 28.96%3.45odd justa
EV +0.774%
Vantagem +0.223%
Kelly +0.312%
Crescimento +0.002%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.48
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.19%28.93%28.88%30.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.273.253.4832.26%30.59%30.77%28.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Previsão 71.04%1.41odd justa
EV -3.38%
Vantagem -2.49%
Kelly -9.40%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.84%71.07%71.12%72.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.341.331.3678.74%74.69%74.91%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 28.96%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 71.04%. Para Frances Tiafoe (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.45. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.48, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.774%.
Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.774%E +0.223%K +0.312%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.195%E +0.056%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.88%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.78%E -7.70%K -36.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:58 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 20:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -6.47%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 20:02 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65% | 2.7% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |