La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 28.96%3.45momio equitativo
EV +0.774%
Ventaja +0.223%
Kelly +0.312%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.19%28.93%28.88%30.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.273.253.4832.26%30.59%30.77%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 71.04%1.41momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -9.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.84%71.07%71.12%72.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.341.331.3678.74%74.69%74.91%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.774%E +0.223%K +0.312%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.195%E +0.056%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.88%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.78%E -7.70%K -36.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 20:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| GTbets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BetUS | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Bally Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:58 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 20:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -6.47%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:04 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Neds | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 20:02 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 19:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Novig | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65% | 2.7% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |