StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Zverev

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-10 20:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Frances Tiafoe (Heim)

Prognose 28.96%3.45faire Quote
EV +0.774%
Vorteil +0.223%
Kelly +0.312%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.19%28.93%28.88%30.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.273.253.4832.26%30.59%30.77%28.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Auswärts)

Prognose 71.04%1.41faire Quote
EV -3.38%
Vorteil -2.49%
Kelly -9.40%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.84%71.07%71.12%72.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.271.341.331.3678.74%74.69%74.91%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Frances Tiafoe (Heim): 28.96%; Alexander Zverev (Auswärts): 71.04%. Für Frances Tiafoe (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.45. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.48 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.774%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.774%E +0.223%K +0.312%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-10 19:59
SportsBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.195%E +0.056%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 20:05
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:05
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.88%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.78%E -7.70%K -36.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:00
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:01
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:59
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:05
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:58
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 20:03
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:05
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:04
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:05
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -6.47%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 20:05
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 19:59
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:05
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:04
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:05
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:02
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:59
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-10 20:05
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-10 20:05
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%2.7%2026-03-10 20:05