L’École des cotes

Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 20:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Prévision 28.96%3.45cote équitable
EV +0.774%
Avantage +0.223%
Kelly +0.312%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.19%28.93%28.88%30.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.253.4832.26%30.59%30.77%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.04%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -2.49%
Kelly -9.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.84%71.07%71.12%72.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.341.331.3678.74%74.69%74.91%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.774%E +0.223%K +0.312%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-10 19:59
SportsBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.195%E +0.056%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 20:05
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:05
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.88%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.78%E -7.70%K -36.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 20:05
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:05
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:00
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Unibet (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:01
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:59
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:05
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:59
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:58
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 20:03
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:05
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:04
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:05
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -6.47%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 20:05
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 19:59
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:05
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:04
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:05
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:02
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-10 20:05
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-10 20:05
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%2.7%2026-03-10 20:05