La scuola delle quote

Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Zverev

Inizio: 2026-03-10 20:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Casa)

Previsione 28.96%3.45quota equa
EV +0.774%
Vantaggio +0.223%
Kelly +0.312%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.19%28.93%28.88%30.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.273.253.4832.26%30.59%30.77%28.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.04%1.41quota equa
EV -3.38%
Vantaggio -2.49%
Kelly -9.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.84%71.07%71.12%72.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.341.331.3678.74%74.69%74.91%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.774%E +0.223%K +0.312%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-10 19:59
SportsBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.195%E +0.056%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 20:05
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:05
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.88%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.78%E -7.70%K -36.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 20:05
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:05
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:00
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Unibet (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:01
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:59
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:05
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:59
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:58
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 20:03
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:05
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:04
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:05
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -6.47%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 20:05
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 19:59
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:05
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:04
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:05
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:02
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-10 20:05
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-10 20:05
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%2.7%2026-03-10 20:05