مدرسة الاحتمالات

Frances Tiafoe v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-03-10 20:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.96%3.45السعر العادل
EV +0.774%
الأفضلية +0.223%
Kelly +0.312%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.19%28.93%28.88%30.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.273.253.4832.26%30.59%30.77%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.04%1.41السعر العادل
EV -3.38%
الأفضلية -2.49%
Kelly -9.40%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.84%71.07%71.12%72.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.341.331.3678.74%74.69%74.91%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +0.774%E +0.223%K +0.312%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-10 19:59
SportsBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +0.195%E +0.056%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-10 20:05
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.094%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:05
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.88%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.54%E -0.454%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.78%E -7.70%K -36.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 20:05
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:05
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.41%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:00
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.99%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Unibet (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:01
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:59
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:05
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:59
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 20:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:58
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 19:59
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 20:03
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.80%E -3.59%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:05
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 20:05
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:04
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 20:05
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -6.47%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 20:05
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 19:59
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:05
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.09%E -3.03%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:04
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:05
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:05
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.38%E -2.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:05
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.22%E -4.72%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:02
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.51%E -4.15%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -6.94%E -5.29%K -22.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 20:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-03-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-10 20:05
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-10 20:05
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%2.7%2026-03-10 20:05