赔率学院语言:简体中文
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)
预测 28.76%3.48公平赔率
EV +3.54%
优势 +0.984%
Kelly +1.36%
增长率 +0.048%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.53%28.67%28.57%30.18%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.323.353.6032.26%30.11%29.85%27.78%MIN均值中位数MAX
Alex Michelsen (客队)
预测 71.24%1.40公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -2.29%
Kelly -8.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
69.82%71.33%71.43%73.47%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.271.331.331.3678.74%75.27%75.19%73.53%MIN均值中位数MAX
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.54%E +0.984%K +1.36%G +0.048% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 05:50 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:16 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.771%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 20:48 |
| Pinnacle | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| GTbets | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.53%E -7.50%K -35.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 12:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.78%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:04 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Bally Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 11:05 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -7.39%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.39%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:58 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 12:10 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 11:54 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 11:54 |
| Neds | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 11:55 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 15:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 22:05 |
| Novig | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |