StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen

Aanvang: 2026-03-05 22:30 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

61 wedaanbieders (23 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis)

Prognose 28.76%3.48margevrije odds
EV +3.54%
Voordeel +0.984%
Kelly +1.36%
Groei +0.048%

bij maximale odds 3.60

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
26.53%28.67%28.57%30.18%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.103.323.353.6032.26%30.11%29.85%27.78%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Uit)

Prognose 71.24%1.40margevrije odds
EV -3.12%
Voordeel -2.29%
Kelly -8.66%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.36

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
69.82%71.33%71.43%73.47%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.271.331.331.3678.74%75.27%75.19%73.53%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis): 28.76%; Alex Michelsen (Uit): 71.24%. Voor Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.48. 8 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 3.60, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +3.54%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (61 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.54%E +0.984%K +1.36%G +0.048%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 05:50
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:16
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 20:50
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 20:50
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:50
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.667%E +0.191%K +0.267%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 19:00
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.771%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 20:48
Pinnacle🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:05
GTbets🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 22:10
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.39%E -5.69%K -24.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.21%E -0.650%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.53%E -7.50%K -35.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 12:05
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -2.78%E -0.824%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:10
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 18:45
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:04
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:15
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:50
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.09%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 22:05
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 11:05
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 11:00
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:20
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:59
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 20:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 22:10
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 22:20
DraftKings🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -7.39%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.12%E -2.29%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.39%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:58
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 12:10
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 11:54
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 11:54
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 11:55
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.54%E -3.39%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 22:05
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 21:54
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.25%E -3.95%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-05 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-05 22:20
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-05 22:05
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-03-05 22:10